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Insights

Papers, briefs and analysis.

Our publications are written for three readers: the practitioner who needs to act, the policymaker who needs to decide, and the researcher who needs to check the work. The first set is in preparation; subscribe below to hear when each is released.

Working paperFinancial crime

Anatomy of a mule network: patterns across the account lifecycle

How mule accounts are recruited, activated and exhausted, and the detection signals available at each stage.

ForthcomingTypology
Practitioner briefFinancial crime

Friction that works: evaluating interventions against authorised-push-payment scams

A framework for testing warnings, delays and confirmation steps against their cost to genuine customers.

ForthcomingEvaluation
Policy noteFinancial crime

Sharing signals, not data: options for cross-institution fraud intelligence

Models for collaborative detection that respect data-protection obligations, and their trade-offs.

ForthcomingPolicy
Practitioner briefResponsible AI

Explainability for fraud models: what reviewers, customers and regulators each need

Three audiences, three different definitions of "explained", and a practical template for each.

ForthcomingGovernance
Working paperResponsible AI

Who pays for a false positive? Measuring the uneven cost of fraud-model errors

A method for estimating how blocked transactions and frozen accounts fall across customer segments.

ForthcomingFairness
Policy noteResponsible AI

Verification after deepfakes: rethinking identity assurance in financial services

Which controls degrade when voice, face and documents can be synthesised, and what should replace them.

ForthcomingIdentity
Policy noteDigital trust

After the scam: designing recovery journeys that restore trust

What victims experience after reporting fraud, and where institutions can reduce secondary harm.

ForthcomingRecovery
Working paperDigital trust

Warnings that land: testing scam messaging across languages and formats

A study design for measuring which fraud warnings change behaviour among first-time digital users.

ForthcomingBehaviour
Practitioner briefDigital trust

Designing for the first-time user: fraud risk in the first 90 days

Why new users face different threats, and onboarding patterns that protect them without excluding them.

ForthcomingInclusion

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